Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 578
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 26 Yesterday
B6 578 · SFO → FLL
departs 10:45 AM PT · arrives 7:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 9h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/26
Today 24%
Wed 10/28 23%
Thu 10/29 25%
Fri 10/30 39%
Sat 10/31 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 36 kt forecast at FLL that day
↑
10am departures from SFO are often late
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at SFO that day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 2,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 39 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.