DL 2661 · MSP → JFK

took off 1:21 PM CT · landed 4:29 PM ET (scheduled 12:54 PM CT → 5:00 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to JFK?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ 12pm departures from MSP are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.44 in

JFK (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2661 · MSP → JFK

Odds over time

How late did it get to JFK?