Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1445 LANDED 2:17 AM ET, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

F9 1445 · CLT → MCO

took off 1:12 AM ET · landed 2:17 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 22h after departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ Gusts to 33 kt forecast at MCO that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 1445 · CLT → MCO

Odds over time