OH 5243 · DCA → MSY

took off 3:26 PM ET · landed 4:38 PM CT (scheduled 2:31 PM ET → 4:11 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MSY?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility4 mi Precipnone

MSY (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5243 · DCA → MSY

Odds over time

How late did it get to MSY?