OO 3680 · SEA → TUS

took off 9:28 AM PT · landed 12:41 PM MT (scheduled 9:05 AM PT → 12:21 PM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to TUS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ TUS is prone to delays

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↓ This flight has been late 10% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TUS

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.07 in

TUS (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3680 · SEA → TUS

Odds over time

How late did it get to TUS?