Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2005
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 26 Today
QX 2005 · SEA → YVR
departs 11:42 AM PT · arrives 12:48 PM PDT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/26
Today 16%
Wed 10/28 16%
Thu 10/29 17%
Fri 10/30 17%
Sat 10/31 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at YVR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to YVR?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
11am departures from SEA are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
YVR usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into YVR at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.07 in
YVR (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.