tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 8410 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

SY 8410 · BNA → MIA

departs 12:00 PM CT · arrives 3:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
25% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.5d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    70%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.