Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 8651 LANDED 5:03 AM CT, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

SY 8651 · MSP → CWA

took off 4:34 AM CT · landed 5:03 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 18h after departure

Arrive at CWA more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

No breakdown for this forecast yet.

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.44 in

CWA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 8651 · MSP → CWA

Odds over time