Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1262 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

UA 1262 · OKC → IAH

departs 6:52 AM CT · arrives 8:25 AM CT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OKC

Weather at each end

OKC (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling8,071 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1262 · OKC → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?