tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 4196 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

UA 4196 · MIA → MIA

departs 12:18 PM ET · arrives 2:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 11h after departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
36% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.5d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    62%
  2. 15–30 min late
    14%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.