Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 653 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

UA 653 · SNA → SFO

departs 7:33 AM PT · arrives 9:18 AM PT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
46% chance · ±0 pts +28 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.4d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SFO?

  1. On time or early
    54%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    17%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    16%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.