tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 969 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

UA 969 · AMS → SFO

departs 2:48 PM CET · arrives 5:51 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
41% chance · ±0 pts +21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.4d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SFO?

  1. On time or early
    57%
  2. 15–30 min late
    15%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.