WN 1506 · DCA → MDW

took off 4:01 PM ET · landed 4:30 PM CT (scheduled 3:03 PM ET → 4:08 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MDW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at MDW that day

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility4 mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1506 · DCA → MDW

Odds over time

How late did it get to MDW?