tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4520 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)
Yesterday

WN 4520 · BWI → MIA

took off 8:05 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 7:52 PM ET → 10:30 PM ET)
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
27% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    72%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.