Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 237 LANDED 12:04 PM ET, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

YX 237 · DCA → JFK

took off 11:19 AM ET · landed 12:04 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

No breakdown for this forecast yet.

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility4 mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 237 · DCA → JFK

Odds over time