Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AVIANCA ECUADOR · FLIGHT 2K 7380
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
2K 7380 · GYE → MIA
departs 7:13 PM -05 · arrives 12:56 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave GYE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 31 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MIA that day
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GYE
Weather at each end
GYE (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MIA (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.64 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.