Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 1144 LANDED 3:35 PM MT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

9K 1144 · BIL → BIL

took off 2:55 PM MT · landed 3:35 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at BIL more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 2pm departures from BIL are often late

↓ Arrivals into HVR at that hour are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BIL

Weather at each end

BIL (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

BIL (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 1144 · BIL → BIL

Odds over time