Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 1144 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

9K 1144 · BIL → GDV

departs 10:19 AM MT · arrives 11:01 AM MT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 62h before departure

Arrive at GDV more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GDV?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Arrivals into GDV at that hour are usually not late

↓ 10am departures from BIL are usually not late

Weather at each end

BIL (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GDV (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 1144 · BIL → GDV

Odds over time

How late will it get to GDV?