Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 125
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
9X 125 · IAD → DUJ
departs 8:34 AM ET · arrives 9:11 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 9%
Thu 10/29 15%
Fri 10/30 8%
Sat 10/31 12%
Mon 11/2 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at DUJ more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DUJ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at DUJ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DUJ?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
This route's recent record
↑
IAD is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD
↓
Arrivals into DUJ at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
IAD (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DUJ (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.