Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 548
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
9X 548 · HNL → MKK
departs 4:14 PM HT · arrives 5:02 PM HT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 20%
Thu 10/29 18%
Fri 10/30 15%
Sat 10/31 14%
Sun 11/1 12%
Mon 11/2 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKK more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at MKK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MKK?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at HNL that day
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MKK that day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MKK usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.49 in
MKK (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.