Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 596
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
9X 596 · HNL → LNY
departs 5:39 PM HT · arrives 6:37 PM HT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 19%
Thu 10/29 16%
Fri 10/30 15%
Sat 10/31 14%
Sun 11/1 12%
Mon 11/2 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at LNY more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LNY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at LNY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LNY?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at HNL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
5pm departures from HNL are usually not late
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.49 in
LNY (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.