tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1301 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

AA 1301 · GCM → MIA

departs 12:03 PM EST · arrives 2:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
32% chance · ±0 pts −26 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.5d 2d 1d Now 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    55%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    6%
  6. Cancelled
    19%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.