tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1409 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

AA 1409 · ORD → CLT

took off 1:23 PM CT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 1:21 PM CT → 4:19 PM ET)
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 9h after departure
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
16% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.6d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to CLT?

  1. On time or early
    83%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.