tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1857 IN THE AIR (OFF 7:22 AM ET, ETA 9:38 AM ET)
Today

AA 1857 · PHL → MIA

took off 7:22 AM ET · expected to land 9:38 AM ET (scheduled 7:16 AM ET → 10:07 AM ET)
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 1h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
<1% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.3d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    100%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.