Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1946 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 1:32 PM ET (16 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Today

AA 1946 · MIA → STX

departs 1:07 PM ET · arrives 4:09 PM AST
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at STX more than 15 minutes late?
50% chance · ±0 pts +18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.5d 2d 1d Now 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to STX?

  1. On time or early
    48%
  2. 15–30 min late
    20%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    <1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    21%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.