tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2109 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 2:06 PM ET (17 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Today

AA 2109 · MIA → MCO

departs 1:40 PM ET · arrives 2:56 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
53% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.6d 2d 1d Now 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MCO?

  1. On time or early
    45%
  2. 15–30 min late
    21%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    22%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.