AA 2241 · RSW → CLT

departs 7:42 AM ET · arrives 9:45 AM ET

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ 7am departures from RSW are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2241 · RSW → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?