tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2304 IN THE AIR (OFF 6:29 AM ET, ETA 7:07 AM CT)
Today

AA 2304 · DCA → ORD

took off 6:29 AM ET · expected to land 7:07 AM CT (scheduled 5:59 AM ET → 7:07 AM CT)
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 0h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
54% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.2d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    46%
  2. 15–30 min late
    46%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.