AA 2395 · MIA → GUA

departs 1:30 PM ET · arrives 2:25 PM CST

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at GUA more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GUA?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↑ 1pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GUA

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts37 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.48 in

GUA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2395 · MIA → GUA

Odds over time

How late will it get to GUA?