AA 2580 · ANU → MIA

departs 3:32 PM AST · arrives 6:55 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ANU

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

ANU (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts37 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.47 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2580 · ANU → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?