AA 2703 · MIA → POS

departs 10:13 AM ET · arrives 2:18 PM AST

Your aircraft is N337PJ (B738), coming in as AA 1733 from MCO: landed 8:07 AM ET.

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at POS more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to POS?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 36 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 10am departures from MIA are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at POS

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts36 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.37 in

POS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2703 · MIA → POS

Odds over time

How late will it get to POS?