tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2853 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 4:31 PM ET (15 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Today

AA 2853 · MIA → PHL

departs 4:08 PM ET · arrives 7:06 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 15h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
41% chance · ±9 pts +8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.7d 2d 1d Now 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    44%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    12%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    25%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.