Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2945 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Today

AA 2945 · CLT → FLL

departs 9:42 PM ET · arrives 11:39 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±3 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
22%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 35 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts35 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.39 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2945 · CLT → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?