AA 3022 · CLT → FLL

departs 8:05 PM ET · arrives 10:13 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±2 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
25%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 35 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ 8pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at CLT that day

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts34 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.52 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3022 · CLT → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?