AA 3070 · CLT → AUS

took off 2:03 PM ET · landed 3:31 PM CT (scheduled 1:50 PM ET → 4:02 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to AUS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3070 · CLT → AUS

Odds over time

How late did it get to AUS?