AA 3282 · SLC → MIA

took off 12:11 AM MT · expected to land 6:18 AM ET (scheduled 12:02 AM MT → 6:50 AM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MIA?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 12am departures from SLC are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

MIA (destination) Gusts37 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.48 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3282 · SLC → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?