AA 3307 · MIA → XPL

departs 12:23 PM ET · arrives 1:03 PM CST

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at XPL more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to XPL?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↑ 12pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at XPL

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts37 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.48 in

XPL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3307 · MIA → XPL

Odds over time

How late will it get to XPL?