Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA · FLIGHT AC 1041 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Today

AC 1041 · YYZ → DEN

departs 6:39 PM EDT · arrives 8:03 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±1 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from YYZ are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

YYZ (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

DEN (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AC 1041 · YYZ → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?