tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA · FLIGHT AC 509 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

AC 509 · YYZ → ORD

departs 1:59 PM EDT · arrives 3:12 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
16% chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.6d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    82%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.