AF 91 · MIA → CDG

departs 9:02 PM ET · arrives 10:17 AM CET

Your aircraft is FGSQE (B77W), coming in as AFR090 from CDG: landed 6:41 PM ET.

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at CDG more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CDG?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 31 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↑ 9pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CDG

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.64 in

CDG (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AF 91 · MIA → CDG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CDG?