Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AEROMÉXICO · FLIGHT AM 421 IN THE AIR (OFF 7:02 PM ET, ETA 7:51 PM CST)
Today

AM 421 · MIA → MEX

took off 7:02 PM ET · expected to land 7:51 PM CST (scheduled 6:33 PM ET → 7:55 PM CST)
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at MEX more than 15 minutes late?
12% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MEX?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    88%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    <1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.