AS 7005 · JNU → SIT

departs 7:04 AM AKDT · arrives 7:55 AM AKDT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at SIT more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SIT?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into SIT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

JNU (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,100 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

SIT (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 7005 · JNU → SIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SIT?