Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 7005 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

AS 7005 · JNU → SIT

departs 6:40 AM AKDT · arrives 7:33 AM AKDT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at SIT more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SIT?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ 6am departures from JNU are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into SIT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

JNU (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SIT (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 7005 · JNU → SIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SIT?