Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 7015 CANCELLED

Tuesday, October 27 Today

AS 7015 · BRW → ANC

departs 9:57 AM AKT · arrives 12:04 PM AKT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

Not applicable chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ANC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–
Cancelled
✓

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BRW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at ANC that day

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ BRW usually runs smoothly

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BRW (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.12 in

ANC (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 7015 · BRW → ANC

Odds over time

How late did it get to ANC?