AS 972 · OGG → LGB

took off 11:26 AM HT · landed 7:07 PM PT (scheduled 11:23 AM HT → 7:37 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LGB?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at OGG that day

↑ Arrivals into LGB at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ 11am departures from OGG are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGB

Weather at each end

OGG (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.23 in

LGB (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 972 · OGG → LGB

Odds over time

How late did it get to LGB?