Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AVIANCA · FLIGHT AV 230 LANDED 3:01 PM AT, ~9 MIN EARLY
Today

AV 230 · MDE → SJU

took off · landed 3:01 PM AT (scheduled 11:25 AM -05 → 3:15 PM AT)
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Not late chance · ±2 pts +10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.5d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late did it get to SJU?

RESOLVED
  1. On time or early
    ✓
  2. 15–30 min late
    –
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    –
  4. 1–2 hours late
    –
  5. Over 2 hours late
    –

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.