tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AVIANCA · FLIGHT AV 245 IN THE AIR (OFF 2:05 AM ET, ETA 6:06 AM -05)
Today

AV 245 · JFK → BOG

took off 2:05 AM ET · expected to land 6:06 AM -05 (scheduled 1:22 AM ET → 6:09 AM -05)
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 3h after departure
Arrive at BOG more than 15 minutes late?
15% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.1d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Now Lands

How late will it get to BOG?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    85%
  2. 15–30 min late
    15%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    <1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.