Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AVIANCA · FLIGHT AV 245SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AV 245 · JFK → BOG
departs 1:36 AM ET · arrives 5:58 AM -05
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 49h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at BOG more than 15 minutes late?
12%chance · ±1 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to BOG?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.