tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AVIANCA · FLIGHT AV 4923 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

AV 4923 · MLB → MIA

departs 3:49 PM ET · arrives 4:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
41% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.7d 2d 1d Now 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    52%
  2. 15–30 min late
    2%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    17%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    10%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    6%
  6. Cancelled
    12%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.