Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ITA AIRWAYS · FLIGHT AZ 641 TAXIING (LEFT THE GATE 4:45 PM PT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

AZ 641 · SFO → FCO

left the gate 4:45 PM PT · taxiing (scheduled time unknown)

Your aircraft is EITYH (A339), coming in as AZ 640 from FCO: landed 2:31 PM PT.

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at FCO more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ SFO is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FCO (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AZ 641 · SFO → FCO

Odds over time